Veröffentlichungen
Forschung zu Extremwertstatistik, Schätzverfahren und Umweltextremen.
Begutachtete Artikel
Extreme Value Analysis based on Blockwise Top-Two Order Statistics
Zusammenfassung
Extreme value analysis for time series is often based on the block maxima method, in particular for environmental applications. In the classical univariate case, the latter is based on fitting an extreme-value distribution to the sample of (annual) block maxima. Mathematically, the target parameters of the extreme-value distribution also show up in limit results for other high order statistics, which suggests estimation based on blockwise large order statistics. It is shown that a naive approach based on maximizing an independence log-likelihood yields an estimator that is inconsistent in general. A consistent, bias-corrected estimator is proposed, and is analyzed theoretically and in finite-sample simulation studies. The new estimator is shown to be more efficient than traditional counterparts, for instance for estimating large return levels or return periods.
Preprints
Evidence Synthesis in Probabilistic Extreme Event Attribution: From Attribution Measures to Model Parameters
Laufende Arbeiten
Multivariate Blockwise r-Largest Order Statistics
Abschlussarbeiten
Analyzing the Influence of Social and Lifestyle Factors on Neuropsychological Attributes Via Regression Methods
Zusammenfassung
Bachelor’s thesis at the Institute of Neuroscience and Medicine, Research Center Jülich, and the Institute of Mathematics, Heinrich Heine University Düsseldorf. Supervised by Prof. Dr. Katrin Möllenhoff and Prof. Dr. Dr. Caspers.